ATP tennis predict — Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martin

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Gijs Brouwer

Netherlands

38.71%

Andres Martin

USA

61.29%

Average Odds

3.83 / 1.21

Market probability

24.01% / 75.99%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1599 vs 1567), fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.30) and a stronger serve (62.1% vs 52.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1567.0 Elo 1598.6

1575.9 Elo (surface) 1600.5

96 Wins (Challenger) 61

71 Wins (surface) 53

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.872 Dominance ratio 1.045

898 Rank 323

30.4 Age 25.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gijs Brouwer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gijs Brouwer Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

67.4%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.3%

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gijs Brouwer Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.0%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gijs Brouwer 0 – 0 Andres Martin

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Andres Martin #323

Gijs Brouwer #898

5-7 7-6 6-0

0 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 2

92 Service Points 102

51 First Serve In 61

33 First Serve Won 46

20 Second Serve Won 20

2 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martin — Prediction