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Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giunta — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

36.34%

Average Odds

1.50  /  2.45

Market probability

62.03%  /  37.97%

Why This Prediction?

Gianluca Cadenasso is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1671 vs 1566), a higher Elo rating (1661 vs 1593) and a stronger return game (44.2% vs 36.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1661.1 Elo 1592.9
1670.7 Elo (surface) 1566.3
31 Wins (Challenger) 18
31 Wins (surface) 8
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.111 Dominance ratio 1.252
220 Rank 390
22.0 Age 22.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Massimo Giunta

1st Serve In %

66.9%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.1%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.43
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.2%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%
74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%
54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.0%
26.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

67.4%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Massimo Giunta

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.9%
70.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%
47.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gianluca Cadenasso and Massimo Giunta have never played each other.

Gianluca Cadenasso — Last 10

W L W W L L L L L L

Massimo Giunta — Last 10

W L W L L W W W L W