ATP tennis predict — Gianluca Cadenasso vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Gianluca Cadenasso

Italy

46.34%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

53.66%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.92

Market probability

51.61% / 48.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1431.1 Elo 1525.0

1450.1 Elo (surface) 1530.7

28 Wins (Challenger) 12

28 Wins (surface) 12

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.111 Dominance ratio 0.931

194 Rank 441

21.9 Age 21.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

66.9%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.1%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.9%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gianluca Cadenasso and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano have never played each other.

Gianluca Cadenasso vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction