ATP tennis predict — Gianluca Cadenasso vs Francesco Forti

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Gianluca Cadenasso

Italy

68.03%

Francesco Forti

Italy

31.97%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.66

Market probability

43.80% / 56.20%

Why This Prediction?

Gianluca Cadenasso is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1697 vs 1619), fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.28) and a stronger serve (67.6% vs 52.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1684.4 Elo 1626.2

1696.9 Elo (surface) 1619.1

28 Wins (Challenger) 98

28 Wins (surface) 80

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.111 Dominance ratio 1.048

217 Rank 373

22.0 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Francesco Forti

1st Serve In %

66.9%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.1%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.9%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Francesco Forti

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gianluca Cadenasso 0 – 0 Francesco Forti

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Francesco Forti #373

Gianluca Cadenasso #217

6-1 7-5

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Gianluca Cadenasso vs Francesco Forti — Prediction