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Gianluca Cadenasso vs Benito Sanchez Martinez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.65  /  2.04

Market probability

55.28%  /  44.72%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1623.5 Elo 1659.7
1631.9 Elo (surface) 1665.5
28 Wins (Challenger) 9
28 Wins (surface) 9
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.111 Dominance ratio 1.229
219 Rank 900
22.0 Age 24.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Benito Sanchez Martinez

1st Serve In %

66.9%
75.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%
81.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.1%
83.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.9%
70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%
34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gianluca Cadenasso Benito Sanchez Martinez

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%
68.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%
49.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gianluca Cadenasso and Benito Sanchez Martinez have never played each other.

Gianluca Cadenasso — Last 10

L L L L L L W W W L

Benito Sanchez Martinez — Last 10

L W W W W W L L L W