ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Vladislav Melnic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

84.17%

Vladislav Melnic

Romania

15.83%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.54

Market probability

83.18% / 16.82%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1537 vs 1406), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1516 vs 1500) and more career match wins (68 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1537.4 Elo 1406.1

1516.4 Elo (surface) 1500

68 Wins (Challenger) 1

67 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.951 Dominance ratio 1.075

582 Rank 1089

21.8 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Vladislav Melnic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Vladislav Melnic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Vladislav Melnic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 0 Vladislav Melnic

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Gerard Campana Lee #582

Vladislav Melnic #1089

6-1 6-3

3 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

46 Service Points 57

22 First Serve In 29

21 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.5

Gerard Campana Lee vs Vladislav Melnic — Prediction