ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

64.11%

Thijs Boogaard

Netherlands

35.89%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.61

Market probability

42.04% / 57.96%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has more career match wins (68 vs 3), more wins on clay courts (67 vs 1) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 3).

Player Comparison

1573.3 Elo 1596.5

1551.3 Elo (surface) 1573.7

68 Wins (Challenger) 3

67 Wins (surface) 1

12 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.043 Dominance ratio 1.111

632 Rank 529

21.8 Age 18.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Thijs Boogaard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Thijs Boogaard

1st Serve In %

—

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Thijs Boogaard

Break Points Saved %

—

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

43.9%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 0 Thijs Boogaard

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Thijs Boogaard #529

Gerard Campana Lee #632

6-0 4-6 4-2

2 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 3

76 Service Points 60

42 First Serve In 36

28 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard — Prediction