ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamis

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:10

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

64.25%

Theo Papamalamis

France

35.75%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.36

Market probability

60.67% / 39.33%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1582 vs 1453), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1573 vs 1487) and a stronger return game (46.1% vs 39.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1581.8 Elo 1453.3

1573.3 Elo (surface) 1486.9

73 Wins (Challenger) 11

72 Wins (surface) 5

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.129 Dominance ratio 0.948

546 Rank 654

21.9 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Theo Papamalamis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Theo Papamalamis

1st Serve In %

—

51.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

59.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Theo Papamalamis

Break Points Saved %

—

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 0 Theo Papamalamis

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Gerard Campana Lee #546

Theo Papamalamis #654

5-7 7-5 6-2

0 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 1

109 Service Points 99

64 First Serve In 62

45 First Serve Won 41

23 Second Serve Won 17

11 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamis — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee — Last 10

Theo Papamalamis — Last 10