ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

84.65%

Pietro Marino

Italy

15.35%

Average Odds

1.13 / 4.73

Market probability

80.72% / 19.28%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1637 vs 1486), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1632 vs 1515) and more career match wins (79 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1637.5 Elo 1485.9

1632.4 Elo (surface) 1514.6

79 Wins (Challenger) 2

78 Wins (surface) 2

11 Last 15 form 2

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.354 Dominance ratio 0.832

515 Rank 830

22.0 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Pietro Marino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Pietro Marino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

71.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

56.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Pietro Marino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 1 – 0 Pietro Marino

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Gerard Campana Lee #585

Pietro Marino #983

6-0 6-2

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 46

27 First Serve In 38

21 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 2

4 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Gerard Campana Lee vs Pietro Marino — Prediction