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Gerard Campana Lee vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

62.78%

Average Odds

1.90  /  1.82

Market probability

48.92%  /  51.08%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (79 vs 7), a stronger return game (48.2% vs 42.6% of return points won) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 59.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1647.1 Elo 1631.0
1643.5 Elo (surface) 1639.0
80 Wins (Challenger) 19
79 Wins (surface) 7
11 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.354 Dominance ratio 1.057
515 Rank 533
22.0 Age 25.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%
34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.0%
50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

55.2%
49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee and Pedro Vives Marcos have never played each other.

Gerard Campana Lee — Last 10

W L W W W L W W L W

Pedro Vives Marcos — Last 10

W L W L W W W W W L