ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Max Alcala Gurri

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

40.97%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

59.03%

Average Odds

3.51 / 1.27

Market probability

26.57% / 73.43%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1686 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating (1653 vs 1598) and more aces per game (0.12 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1598.2 Elo 1653.0

1592.5 Elo (surface) 1686.1

76 Wins (Challenger) 54

75 Wins (surface) 54

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.382 Dominance ratio 1.246

541 Rank 177

21.9 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

—

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

—

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Max Alcala Gurri #177

Gerard Campana Lee #541

6-1 7-5

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 0

53 Service Points 56

32 First Serve In 43

22 First Serve Won 35

8 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Gerard Campana Lee vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction