ATP tennis predict — Gerard Campana Lee vs Lorenzo Carboni

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

72.90%

Lorenzo Carboni

Italy

27.10%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.94

Market probability

52.15% / 47.85%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1572 vs 1403), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1566 vs 1421) and a stronger return game (48.6% vs 37.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1571.9 Elo 1402.6

1565.9 Elo (surface) 1420.6

74 Wins (Challenger) 28

73 Wins (surface) 18

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.249 Dominance ratio 0.849

541 Rank 482

21.9 Age 20.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Lorenzo Carboni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Lorenzo Carboni

1st Serve In %

—

75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

38.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Lorenzo Carboni

Break Points Saved %

—

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

42.5%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 0 – 0 Lorenzo Carboni

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Gerard Campana Lee #541

Lorenzo Carboni #482

6-2 6-3

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 44

32 First Serve In 35

22 First Serve Won 18

14 Second Serve Won 1

2 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Gerard Campana Lee vs Lorenzo Carboni — Prediction