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Gerard Campana Lee vs Felix Gill — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

57.98%

Felix Gill

Great Britain

42.02%

Average Odds

2.75  /  1.41

Market probability

33.89%  /  66.11%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (48.2% vs 37.4% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1642) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1650 vs 1630).

Player Comparison

1654.4 Elo 1642.3
1649.9 Elo (surface) 1630.0
79 Wins (Challenger) 54
78 Wins (surface) 37
11 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.354 Dominance ratio 0.985
526 Rank 213
22.0 Age 24.3
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Felix Gill

1st Serve In %

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%
61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%
55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gerard Campana Lee Felix Gill

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%
40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gerard Campana Lee 00 Felix Gill

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-16
1 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 4
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
17 First Serve Won 22
5 Second Serve Won 13
2 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Gerard Campana Lee — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W W

Felix Gill — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L L