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Georgii Kravchenko vs Goncalo Marques — Prediction

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

60.35%

Goncalo Marques

Portugal

39.65%

Average Odds

1.54  /  2.23

Market probability

59.15%  /  40.85%

Why This Prediction?

Georgii Kravchenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1564 vs 1440), more career match wins (49 vs 0) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1563.9 Elo 1440.5
1449.3 Elo (surface) 1500
49 Wins (Challenger) 0
10 Wins (surface) 0
8 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.083 Dominance ratio 0.767
307 Rank 651
26.2 Age 20.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Georgii Kravchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Goncalo Marques

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Georgii Kravchenko Goncalo Marques

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.0%
53.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%
60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%
44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Georgii Kravchenko Goncalo Marques

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.8%
57.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Georgii Kravchenko and Goncalo Marques have never played each other.

Georgii Kravchenko — Last 10

L W W W W W L L L W

Goncalo Marques — Last 2

L L