ATP tennis predict — Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

40.96%

Alexander Donski

Bulgaria

59.04%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.44

Market probability

61.77% / 38.23%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Donski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1593 vs 1488), a stronger serve (66.9% vs 62.1% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1609 vs 1563).

Player Comparison

1562.8 Elo 1608.8

1488.2 Elo (surface) 1592.8

51 Wins (Challenger) 42

12 Wins (surface) 19

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 1.081

313 Rank 531

26.2 Age 28.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Georgii Kravchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexander Donski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Georgii Kravchenko Alexander Donski

1st Serve In %

—

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

40.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.2%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Georgii Kravchenko Alexander Donski

Break Points Saved %

—

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Georgii Kravchenko and Alexander Donski have never played each other.

Georgii Kravchenko vs Alexander Donski — Prediction