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George Lazarov vs Ognjen Milic — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

George Lazarov

Bulgaria

55.40%

Ognjen Milic

Serbia

44.60%

Average Odds

2.43  /  1.51

Market probability

38.32%  /  61.68%

Why This Prediction?

George Lazarov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1600 vs 1438), a higher Elo rating (1591 vs 1489) and a stronger return game (43.8% vs 38.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1590.7 Elo 1489.0
1600.2 Elo (surface) 1438.1
4 Wins (Challenger) 14
4 Wins (surface) 4
4 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.938 Dominance ratio 0.837
928 Rank 345
21.5 Age 19.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

George Lazarov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Ognjen Milic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

George Lazarov Ognjen Milic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

68.6%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.8%
61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.8%
44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.7%
32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
50.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

George Lazarov Ognjen Milic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.6%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

George Lazarov 00 Ognjen Milic

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31
7-5 5-7 6-2
1 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 7
89 Service Points 96
56 First Serve In 59
32 First Serve Won 39
17 Second Serve Won 14
5 Break Points Saved 2
12 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.4

George Lazarov — Last 9

L W L L W W W W L

Ognjen Milic — Last 10

L L W L L W L W L W