ATP tennis predict — George Lazarov vs Adrian Oetzbach

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

George Lazarov

Bulgaria

87.75%

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

12.25%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.89

Market probability

51.36% / 48.64%

Why This Prediction?

George Lazarov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1529 vs 1419), a higher Elo rating (1540 vs 1408) and a stronger return game (44.0% vs 35.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1540.1 Elo 1408.4

1528.7 Elo (surface) 1419.5

4 Wins (Challenger) 13

4 Wins (surface) 11

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.947 Dominance ratio 0.817

891 Rank 542

21.5 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

George Lazarov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

George Lazarov Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

68.6%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.8%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.8%

42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.7%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

George Lazarov Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.6%

38.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

George Lazarov 0 – 0 Adrian Oetzbach

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

George Lazarov #926

Adrian Oetzbach #550

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 16

13 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

George Lazarov vs Adrian Oetzbach — Prediction