ATP tennis predict — Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

53.43%

Valerio Aboian

Argentina

46.57%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.20

Market probability

60.11% / 39.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1635 Elo 1639.5

1630.0 Elo (surface) 1645.8

164 Wins (Challenger) 76

147 Wins (surface) 76

6 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.288 Dominance ratio 0.986

291 Rank 341

28.2 Age 24.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Valerio Aboian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Valerio Aboian

1st Serve In %

67.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.17

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.3%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.7%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.2%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Valerio Aboian

Break Points Saved %

51.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1 – 1 Valerio Aboian

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Valerio Aboian #350

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #274

1-6 6-2 6-3

0 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

35 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 23

10 Break Points Saved 9

15 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Concepcion CH · 2024-04-22

R16

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #198

Valerio Aboian #412

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 86

38 First Serve In 54

24 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 13

4 Break Points Faced 17