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Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.77  /  1.25

Market probability

24.90%  /  75.10%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1601.3 Elo 1662.0
1470.0 Elo (surface) 1582.0
9 Wins 51
1 Wins (surface) 13
3 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 4
0.657 Dominance ratio 0.950
222 Rank 144
28.1 Age 28.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

67.0%
65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%
41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.3%
63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.7%
36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.0%
46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

51.3%
60.5%

Break Points Converted %

30.4%
35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Genaro Alberto Olivieri 04 Tomas Barrios Vera

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Tomas Barrios Vera #144

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #222

6-3 6-1
0 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 1
57 Service Points 53
35 First Serve In 32
17 First Serve Won 25
10 Second Serve Won 10
9 Break Points Saved 4
14 Break Points Faced 5
8 Winners 21
16 Unforced Errors 18
1.2 Average Odds 3.8
Clay Antofagasta CH · 2025-09-29
0 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 0
49 Service Points 55
32 First Serve In 41
24 First Serve Won 22
10 Second Serve Won 6
0 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sarasota CH · 2025-04-07
2 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
53 Service Points 52
30 First Serve In 41
26 First Serve Won 22
11 Second Serve Won 6
2 Break Points Saved 1
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Florianopolis CH · 2023-04-17
2 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 5
69 Service Points 84
46 First Serve In 45
31 First Serve Won 28
14 Second Serve Won 18
2 Break Points Saved 9
5 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Poznan CH · 2022-05-30
0 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
56 Service Points 44
34 First Serve In 21
22 First Serve Won 11
15 Second Serve Won 9
4 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Last 10

L L W W L L W L W L

Tomas Barrios Vera — Last 10

L W W W L L L L L L