ATP tennis predict — Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Tiago Pereira

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · R16 12:30

Predicted probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

67.59%

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

32.41%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.19

Market probability

57.48% / 42.52%

Why This Prediction?

Genaro Alberto Olivieri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1662 vs 1540), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1657 vs 1529) and a stronger return game (47.5% vs 38.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1662.0 Elo 1540.0

1657.4 Elo (surface) 1529.4

163 Wins (Challenger) 34

146 Wins (surface) 21

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.288 Dominance ratio 1.049

223 Rank 355

28.1 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Tiago Pereira

1st Serve In %

67.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

39.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.3%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.7%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.0%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Tiago Pereira

Break Points Saved %

51.3%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

30.4%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Genaro Alberto Olivieri 0 – 0 Tiago Pereira

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #223

Tiago Pereira #355

6-1 6-3

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 15

9 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Tiago Pereira — Prediction