ATP tennis predict — Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

39.00%

Alex Barrena

Argentina

61.00%

Average Odds

2.72 / 1.40

Market probability

33.98% / 66.02%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1734 vs 1643), a higher Elo rating (1723 vs 1646) and a stronger return game (37.9% vs 31.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1646.0 Elo 1723.2

1643.1 Elo (surface) 1733.6

166 Wins (Challenger) 92

149 Wins (surface) 92

7 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.288 Dominance ratio 0.948

287 Rank 224

28.2 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–2L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

34 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Alex Barrena

1st Serve In %

67.0%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.0%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri Alex Barrena

Break Points Saved %

51.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

30.4%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.6%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1 – 1 Alex Barrena

Clay Liberec CH · 2025-07-28

R16

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #300

Alex Barrena #236

6-0 1-0 RET

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

45 Service Points 17

30 First Serve In 10

20 First Serve Won 2

7 Second Serve Won 3

3 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Guayaquil CH · 2024-10-28

Q2

Alex Barrena #717

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #347

6-4 6-0

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 56

42 First Serve In 44

27 First Serve Won 19

6 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 9