ATP tennis predict — Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael Perot

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

81.10%

Raphael Perot

France

18.90%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.39

Market probability

60.97% / 39.03%

Why This Prediction?

Gauthier Onclin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating (1650 vs 1472) and a stronger serve (65.7% vs 53.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1649.8 Elo 1472.0

1642.1 Elo (surface) 1396.5

84 Wins (Challenger) 7

42 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.134 Dominance ratio 0.842

158 Rank 338

25.5 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Raphael Perot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin Raphael Perot

1st Serve In %

60.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.53

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

59.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin Raphael Perot

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

47.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

53.0%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gauthier Onclin 0 – 0 Raphael Perot

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Raphael Perot #338

Gauthier Onclin #158

6-4 6-2

0 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 5

62 Service Points 64

31 First Serve In 32

17 First Serve Won 24

14 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Gauthier Onclin vs Raphael Perot — Prediction