ATP tennis predict — Gauthier Onclin vs James Mccabe

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - round of 16 23:00

Predicted probability

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

52.79%

James Mccabe

Australia

47.21%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.55

Market probability

64.07% / 35.93%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1642.3 Elo 1599.2

1672.2 Elo (surface) 1609.2

81 Wins (Challenger) 102

39 Wins (surface) 91

8 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.175 Dominance ratio 0.953

169 Rank 243

25.5 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

James Mccabe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin James Mccabe

1st Serve In %

60.1%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

20.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin James Mccabe

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

66.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.9%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

53.0%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gauthier Onclin 1 – 0 James Mccabe

Hard Guangzhou Huangpu CH · 2025-09-08

R16

Gauthier Onclin #215

James Mccabe #178

6-1 4-1 RET

2 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

32 Service Points 47

26 First Serve In 18

18 First Serve Won 13

6 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gauthier Onclin vs James Mccabe — Prediction