ATP tennis predict — Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 02:20

Predicted probability

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

53.95%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

46.05%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.35

Market probability

60.41% / 39.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.8 Elo 1634.9

1680.9 Elo (surface) 1641

82 Wins (Challenger) 117

40 Wins (surface) 58

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.224 Dominance ratio 1.253

169 Rank 240

25.5 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

60.1%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gauthier Onclin Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.9%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

53.0%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gauthier Onclin 0 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-19

qualification - quarterfinal

Gauthier Onclin #169

Alejandro Moro Canas #240

6-4 5-7 6-4

2 Aces 12

2 Double Faults 1

104 Service Points 96

65 First Serve In 57

43 First Serve Won 37

21 Second Serve Won 23

6 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Gauthier Onclin vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction