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Garrett Johns vs Timo Legout — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Garrett Johns

USA

43.58%

Timo Legout

France

56.42%

Average Odds

3.10  /  1.31

Market probability

29.71%  /  70.29%

Why This Prediction?

Timo Legout is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1717 vs 1528) and a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1541).

Player Comparison

1541.0 Elo 1664.3
1528.0 Elo (surface) 1716.6
59 Wins (Challenger) 15
34 Wins (surface) 13
8 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.144 Dominance ratio 0.885
390 Rank 535
25.7 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Timo Legout

1st Serve In %

49.7%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%
57.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%
38.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%
34.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.57
0.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.75

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%
30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%
52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Timo Legout

Break Points Saved %

53.6%
44.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%
16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Garrett Johns 00 Timo Legout

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Garrett Johns #390

Timo Legout #535

3-6 6-4 6-1
7 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 5
103 Service Points 82
62 First Serve In 54
42 First Serve Won 34
19 Second Serve Won 12
14 Break Points Saved 5
17 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Garrett Johns — Last 10

L W L W W W L W L L

Timo Legout — Last 10

W W W L W W W L W L