ATP tennis predict — Garrett Johns vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Garrett Johns

USA

45.04%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

54.96%

Average Odds

2.37 / 1.50

Market probability

38.76% / 61.24%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1541.2 Elo 1561.7

1524.6 Elo (surface) 1580.6

58 Wins (Challenger) 9

33 Wins (surface) 6

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.027 Dominance ratio 0.921

381 Rank 416

25.6 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

49.7%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Garrett Johns 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-11

qualification - round of 16

Mees Rottgering #416

Garrett Johns #381

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 0

64 Service Points 50

29 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 21

11 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Garrett Johns vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction