ATP tennis predict — Garrett Johns vs Enzo Aguiard

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Garrett Johns

USA

58.43%

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

41.57%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.05

Market probability

54.52% / 45.48%

Why This Prediction?

Garrett Johns is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (40.0% vs 37.1% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1551 vs 1511) and more wins on hard courts (31 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1551.1 Elo 1511.2

1529.1 Elo (surface) 1517.8

56 Wins (Challenger) 6

31 Wins (surface) 6

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.053 Dominance ratio 0.979

375 Rank 493

25.6 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Enzo Aguiard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Enzo Aguiard

1st Serve In %

49.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.57

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Enzo Aguiard

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Garrett Johns 0 – 0 Enzo Aguiard

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Garrett Johns #375

Enzo Aguiard #493

6-4 6-7 6-4

2 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 7

96 Service Points 110

56 First Serve In 69

40 First Serve Won 46

19 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 11

6 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Garrett Johns vs Enzo Aguiard — Prediction