ATP tennis predict — Garrett Johns vs Benjamin Thomas George

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Garrett Johns

USA

70.34%

Benjamin Thomas George

Canada

29.66%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.32

Market probability

72.97% / 27.03%

Why This Prediction?

Garrett Johns is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1540 vs 1400), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1507 vs 1499) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.30).

Player Comparison

1539.8 Elo 1400.4

1507.1 Elo (surface) 1498.5

55 Wins (Challenger) 10

30 Wins (surface) 8

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.965 Dominance ratio 1.007

382 Rank 962

25.6 Age 23.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Benjamin Thomas George

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Benjamin Thomas George

1st Serve In %

49.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.57

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Garrett Johns Benjamin Thomas George

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Garrett Johns 0 – 0 Benjamin Thomas George

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Garrett Johns #375

Benjamin Thomas George #935

4-6 6-4 6-2

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

75 Service Points 82

49 First Serve In 52

35 First Serve Won 33

16 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.3

Garrett Johns vs Benjamin Thomas George — Prediction