ATP tennis predict — Gabriele Piraino vs Samuele Pieri

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

57.43%

Samuele Pieri

Italy

42.57%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.02

Market probability

53.87% / 46.13%

Why This Prediction?

Gabriele Piraino is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (43.9% vs 34.9% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1577 vs 1503) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1563 vs 1539).

Player Comparison

1577.4 Elo 1502.8

1562.7 Elo (surface) 1539.4

35 Wins (Challenger) 16

29 Wins (surface) 16

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.977 Dominance ratio 0.913

359 Rank 405

22.8 Age 24.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Samuele Pieri

1st Serve In %

63.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Samuele Pieri

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 0 – 0 Samuele Pieri

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Samuele Pieri #405

Gabriele Piraino #359

5-7 6-2 7-5

2 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

40 First Serve Won 40

24 Second Serve Won 26

8 Break Points Saved 9

13 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Gabriele Piraino vs Samuele Pieri — Prediction