ATP tennis predict — Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · R16 15:30

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

39.20%

Ognjen Milic

Serbia

60.80%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.58

Market probability

41.15% / 58.85%

Why This Prediction?

Ognjen Milic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1562 vs 1464) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1523 vs 1462).

Player Comparison

1463.8 Elo 1561.7

1462.0 Elo (surface) 1523.5

30 Wins (Challenger) 14

24 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 0.894

404 Rank 337

22.7 Age 19.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Ognjen Milic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Ognjen Milic

1st Serve In %

63.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

50.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Ognjen Milic

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 0 – 0 Ognjen Milic

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Gabriele Piraino #404

Ognjen Milic #337

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 4

62 Service Points 82

32 First Serve In 43

16 First Serve Won 21

16 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 8

8 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milic — Prediction