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Gabriele Piraino vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

27.29%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

72.71%

Average Odds

4.58  /  1.18

Market probability

20.49%  /  79.51%

Why This Prediction?

Kilian Feldbausch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1523), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1720 vs 1524) and a stronger return game (40.6% vs 35.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1523.1 Elo 1696.8
1524.2 Elo (surface) 1720.5
34 Wins (Challenger) 64
28 Wins (surface) 59
7 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.961 Dominance ratio 1.023
372 Rank 233
22.8 Age 21.0
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

63.2%
65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%
62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%
34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%
62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%
58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%
33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

42.9%
57.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%
57.3%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 00 Kilian Feldbausch

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-07
7-5 6-3
2 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 3
51 Service Points 68
24 First Serve In 44
17 First Serve Won 23
16 Second Serve Won 10
0 Break Points Saved 4
3 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
4.6 Average Odds 1.2

Gabriele Piraino — Last 10

L L W L L W W W W W

Kilian Feldbausch — Last 10

L W L L W L L W W L