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Gabriele Piraino vs Felix Gill — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

44.26%

Felix Gill

Great Britain

55.74%

Average Odds

2.72  /  1.40

Market probability

33.98%  /  66.02%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Gill is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1636 vs 1554), a higher Elo rating (1645 vs 1566) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 50.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1566.5 Elo 1645.3
1554.4 Elo (surface) 1636.0
36 Wins (Challenger) 57
30 Wins (surface) 40
8 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.977 Dominance ratio 0.985
392 Rank 222
22.9 Age 24.4
left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Felix Gill

1st Serve In %

63.2%
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%
57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.9%
72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.5%
29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%
55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Felix Gill

Break Points Saved %

42.9%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.5%
58.0%

Break Points Converted %

51.3%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino and Felix Gill have never played each other.

Gabriele Piraino — Last 10

L W L L W L L W W W

Felix Gill — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L W