ATP tennis predict — Gabriele Piraino vs Dusan Obradovic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

83.89%

Dusan Obradovic

Serbia

16.11%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.90

Market probability

67.92% / 32.08%

Why This Prediction?

Gabriele Piraino is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1554 vs 1347), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1558 vs 1335) and a stronger return game (43.0% vs 34.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1554.1 Elo 1347.2

1557.8 Elo (surface) 1335.1

34 Wins (Challenger) 4

28 Wins (surface) 4

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.914 Dominance ratio 0.710

372 Rank 496

22.8 Age 25.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Dusan Obradovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Dusan Obradovic

1st Serve In %

63.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

42.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Dusan Obradovic

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 0 – 0 Dusan Obradovic

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Dusan Obradovic #496

Gabriele Piraino #372

6-3 2-6 7-5

4 Aces 2

9 Double Faults 2

90 Service Points 79

54 First Serve In 48

35 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Gabriele Piraino vs Dusan Obradovic — Prediction