ATP tennis predict — Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · SF 17:00

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

32.93%

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

67.07%

Average Odds

1.94 / 1.78

Market probability

47.85% / 52.15%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Sanchez Jover is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1674 vs 1516), a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1517) and a stronger return game (42.3% vs 39.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1516.7 Elo 1653.9

1515.6 Elo (surface) 1674.2

32 Wins (Challenger) 91

26 Wins (surface) 86

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.856 Dominance ratio 0.945

404 Rank 377

22.7 Age 26.0

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Carlos Sanchez Jover

1st Serve In %

63.2%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Carlos Sanchez Jover

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 0 – 0 Carlos Sanchez Jover

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Gabriele Piraino #404

Carlos Sanchez Jover #377

7-5 6-2

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 3

72 Service Points 58

47 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 16

12 Second Serve Won 9

8 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Jover — Prediction