ATP tennis predict — Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

42.02%

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

57.98%

Average Odds

2.53 / 1.46

Market probability

36.59% / 63.41%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1477 vs 1437), a stronger serve (71.6% vs 56.7% of service points won) and a stronger return game (41.6% vs 40.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1442.1 Elo 1458.9

1437.4 Elo (surface) 1476.9

29 Wins (Challenger) 18

23 Wins (surface) 16

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.928 Dominance ratio 1.462

404 Rank 452

22.7 Age 20.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Carlo Alberto Caniato

1st Serve In %

63.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

67.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriele Piraino Carlo Alberto Caniato

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriele Piraino 0 – 0 Carlo Alberto Caniato

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Gabriele Piraino #404

Carlo Alberto Caniato #452

6-4 3-6 6-3

1 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 3

102 Service Points 78

61 First Serve In 50

38 First Serve Won 35

23 Second Serve Won 16

9 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto Caniato — Prediction