ATP tennis predict — Gabriel Ghetu vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Gabriel Ghetu

Romania

37.44%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

62.56%

Average Odds

4.54 / 1.15

Market probability

20.21% / 79.79%

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1597 vs 1525), a stronger serve (64.4% vs 47.1% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (66 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1525.2 Elo 1597.0

1680.7 Elo (surface) 1655.7

4 Wins (Challenger) 87

2 Wins (surface) 66

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.718 Dominance ratio 0.930

625 Rank 195

18.8 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabriel Ghetu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriel Ghetu Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

51.5%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

45.7%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.9%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.7%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabriel Ghetu Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

25.0%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.9%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabriel Ghetu 0 – 0 Edas Butvilas

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Edas Butvilas #195

Gabriel Ghetu #625

7-5 6-2

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 54

39 First Serve In 38

23 First Serve Won 27

8 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.5

Gabriel Ghetu vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction