ATP tennis predict — Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

55.71%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Mexico

44.29%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.36

Market probability

62.11% / 37.89%

Why This Prediction?

Gabi Adrian Boitan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1529 vs 1444), a stronger serve (68.5% vs 57.8% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1528 vs 1495).

Player Comparison

1528.7 Elo 1443.8

1527.5 Elo (surface) 1495.2

51 Wins (Challenger) 35

13 Wins (surface) 19

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.212 Dominance ratio 0.909

500 Rank 471

27.2 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

1st Serve In %

65.5%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

58.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.8%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 0 Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Gabi Adrian Boitan #500

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano #471

7-6 6-4

11 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

65 Service Points 85

50 First Serve In 55

40 First Serve Won 41

10 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 8

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.4

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Prediction