ATP tennis predict — Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Harold Mayot

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

26.08%

Harold Mayot

France

73.92%

Average Odds

3.16 / 1.32

Market probability

29.46% / 70.54%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1726 vs 1554), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1721 vs 1584) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 37.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1554.3 Elo 1726.4

1583.8 Elo (surface) 1721.0

52 Wins (Challenger) 133

14 Wins (surface) 86

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.225 Dominance ratio 1.099

500 Rank 267

27.2 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

65.5%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

67.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 0 Harold Mayot

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Harold Mayot #267

Gabi Adrian Boitan #500

6-7 6-3 6-2

2 Aces 10

7 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 45

25 Second Serve Won 19

8 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Harold Mayot — Prediction