ATP tennis predict — Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Gabriel Debru

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

43.03%

Gabriel Debru

France

56.97%

Average Odds

2.21 / 1.61

Market probability

42.15% / 57.85%

Why This Prediction?

Gabriel Debru is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1561 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1450 vs 1441) and fewer double faults per game (0.16 vs 0.24).

Player Comparison

1487.9 Elo 1560.5

1441.3 Elo (surface) 1449.5

46 Wins (Challenger) 54

8 Wins (surface) 16

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.031 Dominance ratio 0.932

336 Rank -

27.0 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Gabriel Debru

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Gabriel Debru

1st Serve In %

65.5%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

56.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.8%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Gabriel Debru

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

58.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 0 Gabriel Debru

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Gabriel Debru #-

Gabi Adrian Boitan #429

4-6 6-2 6-2

1 Aces 9

9 Double Faults 7

81 Service Points 69

45 First Serve In 47

31 First Serve Won 39

14 Second Serve Won 8

8 Break Points Saved 2

13 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Gabriel Debru — Prediction