ATP tennis predict — Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Ergi Kirkin

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:00

Predicted probability

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

47.44%

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

52.56%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.30

Market probability

59.74% / 40.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1509.6 Elo 1512.6

1492.8 Elo (surface) 1560.0

50 Wins (Challenger) 97

12 Wins (surface) 36

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.123 Dominance ratio 0.862

500 Rank 657

27.2 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Ergi Kirkin

1st Serve In %

65.5%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

40.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.8%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Ergi Kirkin

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

46.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 0 Ergi Kirkin

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Gabi Adrian Boitan #500

Ergi Kirkin #657

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

49 Service Points 54

34 First Serve In 31

30 First Serve Won 24

10 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Ergi Kirkin — Prediction