ATP tennis predict — Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alastair Gray

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

47.87%

Alastair Gray

Great Britain

52.13%

Average Odds

3.41 / 1.28

Market probability

27.29% / 72.71%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1482.7 Elo 1537.1

1435.1 Elo (surface) 1485.5

47 Wins (Challenger) 42

9 Wins (surface) 30

5 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.027 Dominance ratio 0.699

441 Rank 270

27.1 Age 28.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alastair Gray

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Alastair Gray

1st Serve In %

65.5%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.8%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

41.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gabi Adrian Boitan Alastair Gray

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 0 Alastair Gray

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Gabi Adrian Boitan #441

Alastair Gray #270

4-6 6-3 6-2

8 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

93 Service Points 84

72 First Serve In 57

51 First Serve Won 42

11 Second Serve Won 11

9 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alastair Gray — Prediction