ATP tennis predict — Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski vs Matthew William Donald

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Poland

43.72%

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

56.28%

Average Odds

3.60 / 1.25

Market probability

25.77% / 74.23%

Why This Prediction?

Matthew William Donald is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1535 vs 1455), more wins on clay courts (8 vs 3) and more career match wins (11 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1529.2 Elo 1525.9

1454.6 Elo (surface) 1534.5

7 Wins (Challenger) 11

3 Wins (surface) 8

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.890 Dominance ratio 0.949

636 Rank 453

21.4 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Matthew William Donald

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.2%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Matthew William Donald

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

30.4%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski 0 – 0 Matthew William Donald

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Matthew William Donald #461

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski #643

6-0 4-6 6-3

0 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 12

93 Service Points 87

53 First Serve In 55

27 First Serve Won 36

18 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 11

15 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski vs Matthew William Donald — Prediction