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Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski vs Evan Zhu — Prediction

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.87  /  1.34

Market probability

31.83%  /  68.17%

Why This Prediction?

Evan Zhu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1532 vs 1501), more wins on hard courts (59 vs 4) and more career match wins (72 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1500.7 Elo 1531.8
1580.9 Elo (surface) 1538.9
7 Wins (Challenger) 72
4 Wins (surface) 59
7 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.925 Dominance ratio 1.041
613 Rank 525
21.5 Age 28.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Evan Zhu

1st Serve In %

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.2%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%
68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%
37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%
58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Evan Zhu

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.7%
56.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.4%
39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski 00 Evan Zhu

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Evan Zhu #525

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski #613

6-3 6-2
3 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
21 First Serve Won 30
4 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski — Last 10

L L L W W L W L W W

Evan Zhu — Last 10

L W W L W W L W W L