ATP tennis predict — Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Nicolas Kicker

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Portugal

40.08%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

59.92%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.09

Market probability

55.44% / 44.56%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolas Kicker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1632 vs 1557), a higher Elo rating (1597 vs 1549) and a stronger return game (44.8% vs 37.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1549.0 Elo 1597.2

1557.4 Elo (surface) 1632.3

196 Wins (Challenger) 198

95 Wins (surface) 182

6 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.001 Dominance ratio 1.159

235 Rank 369

31.4 Age 34.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

60.4%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

69.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

59.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Frederico Ferreira Silva 1 – 0 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Frederico Ferreira Silva #235

Nicolas Kicker #369

6-2 4-6 6-1

4 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 4

81 Service Points 80

49 First Serve In 51

28 First Serve Won 37

17 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Clay Tampere CH · 2022-07-18

R16

Frederico Ferreira Silva #257

Nicolas Kicker #188

7-6(5) 7-5

7 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

74 Service Points 72

41 First Serve In 51

30 First Serve Won 34

20 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Nicolas Kicker — Prediction