ATP tennis predict — Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Assche

ATP Clay Estoril · 1. round

Predicted probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Portugal

26.47%

Luca Van Assche

France

73.53%

Average Odds

4.31 / 1.21

Market probability

21.92% / 78.08%

Why This Prediction?

Luca Van Assche is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1749 vs 1545), a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1540) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1540.0 Elo 1707.9

1545.4 Elo (surface) 1748.9

23 Wins 51

9 Wins (surface) 16

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.940 Dominance ratio 1.033

235 Rank 78

31.3 Age 22.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Luca Van Assche

1st Serve In %

60.4%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Luca Van Assche

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

48.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Frederico Ferreira Silva 0 – 0 Luca Van Assche

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-20

1. round

Luca Van Assche #78

Frederico Ferreira Silva #235

7-5 6-7 6-1

3 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 5

112 Service Points 103

70 First Serve In 62

40 First Serve Won 38

16 Second Serve Won 23

10 Break Points Saved 7

18 Break Points Faced 12

33 Winners 31

60 Unforced Errors 51

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Assche — Prediction