ATP tennis predict — Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Jurij Rodionov

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Portugal

42.49%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

57.51%

Average Odds

2.40 / 1.53

Market probability

38.93% / 61.07%

Why This Prediction?

Jurij Rodionov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1700 vs 1652), a higher Elo rating (1659 vs 1572) and more wins on hard courts (164 vs 101).

Player Comparison

1571.9 Elo 1658.6

1651.9 Elo (surface) 1699.8

24 Wins 66

10 Wins (surface) 27

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.925 Dominance ratio 0.869

236 Rank 143

31.4 Age 27.3

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

60.4%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Frederico Ferreira Silva Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Frederico Ferreira Silva 0 – 1 Jurij Rodionov

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Jurij Rodionov #143

Frederico Ferreira Silva #236

6-2 3-6 6-1

4 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 1

77 Service Points 80

42 First Serve In 43

24 First Serve Won 28

18 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 8

17 Winners 22

38 Unforced Errors 31

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Zhangjiagang CH · 2018-09-03

R32

Jurij Rodionov #259

Frederico Ferreira Silva #316

6-4 6-4

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 54

32 First Serve In 28

25 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction