ATP tennis predict — Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Franco Roncadelli

Uruguay

51.78%

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Brazil

48.22%

Average Odds

1.74 / 2.00

Market probability

53.48% / 46.52%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1657 Elo 1600.2

1683.2 Elo (surface) 1594.7

65 Wins (Challenger) 107

65 Wins (surface) 104

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.961 Dominance ratio 1.180

264 Rank 284

26.6 Age 23.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Pedro Boscardin Dias

1st Serve In %

68.4%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

41.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.0%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Pedro Boscardin Dias

Break Points Saved %

70.7%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

56.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Roncadelli 0 – 1 Pedro Boscardin Dias

Clay Lima CH · 2025-06-23

R32

Pedro Boscardin Dias #379

Franco Roncadelli #336

6-3 6-2

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

48 Service Points 53

32 First Serve In 36

20 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias — Prediction