ATP tennis predict — Franco Roncadelli vs Oskari Paldanius

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Franco Roncadelli

Uruguay

84.05%

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

15.95%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.94

Market probability

76.36% / 23.64%

Why This Prediction?

Franco Roncadelli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1641 vs 1410), a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1429) and more career match wins (62 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1610.3 Elo 1429.2

1641.0 Elo (surface) 1410.5

62 Wins (Challenger) 0

62 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.900 Dominance ratio 0.869

228 Rank 1294

26.4 Age None

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Oskari Paldanius

1st Serve In %

68.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.0%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Oskari Paldanius

Break Points Saved %

70.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

56.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Roncadelli 0 – 0 Oskari Paldanius

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Franco Roncadelli #228

Oskari Paldanius #1294

7-5 7-6

2 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

90 Service Points 79

67 First Serve In 63

38 First Serve Won 39

8 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Franco Roncadelli vs Oskari Paldanius — Prediction