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Franco Roncadelli vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Franco Roncadelli

Uruguay

41.60%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

58.40%

Average Odds

2.24  /  1.59

Market probability

41.51%  /  58.49%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1655 vs 1605), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1646 vs 1639) and a stronger return game (45.0% vs 43.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1605.2 Elo 1655.2
1638.7 Elo (surface) 1645.5
61 Wins (Challenger) 42
61 Wins (surface) 27
10 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.027 Dominance ratio 1.136
238 Rank 310
26.4 Age 19.0
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

68.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%
56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.0%
61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%
40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

70.7%

Break Points Converted %

56.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
47.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Roncadelli 00 Maxim Mrva

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-16
6-2 4-6 7-6
5 Aces 0
7 Double Faults 0
106 Service Points 99
66 First Serve In 80
41 First Serve Won 48
16 Second Serve Won 11
9 Break Points Saved 7
16 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Franco Roncadelli — Last 10

W L L W L W L W W L

Maxim Mrva — Last 10

W L L W L W W W W W