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Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Prediction

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.36  /  1.26

Market probability

27.27%  /  72.73%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1724 vs 1649), a higher Elo rating (1696 vs 1628) and a stronger return game (41.3% vs 40.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1628.3 Elo 1695.7
1648.9 Elo (surface) 1724.0
66 Wins (Challenger) 95
66 Wins (surface) 86
7 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.961 Dominance ratio 1.068
265 Rank 162
26.7 Age 21.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1st Serve In %

68.4%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%
65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.1%
35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.4%
56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.3%
74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%
30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%
55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.10
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Roncadelli Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Break Points Saved %

70.7%
62.1%

Break Points Converted %

56.8%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
52.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%
54.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Roncadelli 1 – 1 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Clay Santa Cruz de la Sierra CH · 2025-06-16
0 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
124 Service Points 141
89 First Serve In 86
54 First Serve Won 46
15 Second Serve Won 27
7 Break Points Saved 10
11 Break Points Faced 16
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Concepcion CH · 2024-04-22
1 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 3
93 Service Points 79
50 First Serve In 64
32 First Serve Won 33
22 Second Serve Won 8
6 Break Points Saved 2
9 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Franco Roncadelli — Last 10

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Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

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